Thursday, November 3, 2016

Great news about Mike Clarke & Ray Torto

Over the past 17 years of writing this column, too often have I written some difficult columns about bad things that happened to people in the industry.

Today, I have the pleasure of writing about two industry friends who made it – both surviving terrible automobile accidents.

Mike Clarke
Mike Clarke’s official title is Head of Investor Services, EMEA
for CBRE Global Investors.  Mike is based in London and has traveled the world extensively in his more than 25 years in the commercial real estate industry.

Mike and I first met at one of the early INREV conferences, liked each other (at least I liked him!) and we continued to connect when possible, both in the U.S. or Europe.

Mike is a class act, both professionally and personally.  More than a year ago, his car was rear-ended at a high speed while his car was stationary.  Those of us who drive know the feeling of being stopped on a highway due to traffic in front of us and watching our rear view mirror, hoping that the dude traveling a break-neck speed behind us will slow down and stop…before smashing into us.  This time that car didn’t.

But I’m thrilled to report that as of this week, Mike told me he has gotten a great report from his doctors and will be back to work pretty soon.  Look forward to seeing you soon Mike - either in NYC or London.

Ray Torto
Ray is the co-founder of the legendary Torto – Wheaton Research. He and Bill Wheaton created a commercial real estate economic advisory firm when there hardly were any.  Some years ago, Torto Wheaton was bought by CBRE and morphed into CBRE Economic Advisors. 

I don’t remember how Ray and I first met and, it was a little difficult to understand him given his heavy Boston accent!  But we hit it off and at some point, Torto Wheaton was my client when I was working in a former life.  Ray was also one of the panelists on the live TV show, which I co-moderated at MIPIM, and he and I have shared the stage a few times since then - always having fun.

Ray retired from CBRE in 2014 but, as with many folks in our industry, retirement is just a word.  Ray continues his professorship at Harvard and provides some very eclectic consulting services.

A couple of months ago I got news from a friend of Ray’s that he was involved in a head-on car crash, was in the hospital and not expected to live.  WHAT!  Yes, these things go happen but they’re not supposed to happen to my friends, right?

It was touch and go for a while but yesterday Ray wrote me that he’s going home and, while the recuperation will be lengthy, he has promised to buy me that cup of 'tea' that he originally was going to do in New York in a couple of weeks when he was going to be a panelist at the upcoming PERE Summit.

I wasn’t sure if you all knew about these events and very fortunate outcomes and wanted to share the news with you. It feels good for me to write about two friends of mine who beat the odds!







Monday, October 24, 2016

Real Capital Analytics Cool New Website / WAWINC? / Music and Movies / Steve's Pizza Drink Thing - Dec 12

Real Capital Analytics Launches Cool New Website

Some of you know of my close relationship to Real Capital Analytics (RCA). I feel a sense of pride, having been introduced to RCA Founder and CEO Bob White four months after he launched the business, as to where they've grown to today.  There were three others besides Bob in a small NYC office.  When he told me what he was doing I (a) knew the industry needed it and (b) believed in Bob.  The rest is history!

Last week, or was it the week before (I have trouble with time) RCA launched it’s new look and feel website.  A result of lots of work by the whole team.  I was able to get an early view of the site a few months ago and it’s very cool, very user friendly and gives subscribers an easy path to unearthing the treasure trove of data and analytics RCA has become famous for. Here’s the link to the site. Check it out!

WAWITC?
While I can’t say or even write the words behind this acronym, those of you in the global commercial real estate world know what it means.  Hint: It begs the question, “When are things going to start changing – for the worse?” 

Listening to some very smart real estate people debating this question, the conclusion I’ve reached is that while none of us really can peg the day and time that something will happen (unless of course a dramatic and drastic event occurs in the world financial markets).  However, some of the conversation has been very stimulating.  That relates to a different question: “What will /can we do differently this time vs. the last ‘downturn’?”

The CEO of one commercial real estate firm suggests that in preparing for what’s coming, training should be planned.  For example, he talked about how acquisitions people will likely not be as active and, so as to be able to keep them (rather than let them go as happened the last time) why not train them on, say, asset management or another discipline?

This makes sense for a number of reasons, not the least of which is that some institutional investors (pension funds, endowments, et al) were critical of investment managers who ‘downsized’ during the last down cycle. They didn’t like that those companies behaved like ‘fair-weather firms” when their money was fueling expanding staffs, etc. This might be one of those famous ‘Lessons Learned’ – now all we need to do is remember and respect those lessons in advance of the winds of change striking us.

Workshops
The past few weeks have been pretty busy (Yeah!).  My partner Liz Weiner and I have conducted various workshops in different cities.  We’ve worked in-house with one of the well-known institutional real estate investment management firm – prepping them for their upcoming annual investor conference by coaching presenters and internal moderators and panelists.

We’ve also run our 16th Women’s Leadership Workshop in New York City.  That same week, we ran our new Open-Enrollment Behavioral Presentation Coaching workshop – a small group of industry professionals from different firms  - the feedback has been extremely rewarding.

Attendees have told us that both our presentation coaching and women’s leadership programs are transferable to other industries so, on December 16 in New York City we’re conducting our first Tech Industry Women’s Leadership Workshop.  These programs are designed to provide professional development coaching, through interactive exercises, to women in male-dominated industries.

The workshop runs from 12:30 – 4:30pm with wine/cheese networking time immediately following.  The registration fee is a very reasonable $479 per person.  If you know anyone in either the commercial real estate or broad technology world who may be interested in elevating her professional presence, please pass along this link to them (http://www.eventbrite.com/o/felix-weiner-consulting-group-workshops-7667218447). Thanks!

Music and Movies
Recently I’ve treated myself to a few concerts that I want to mention to you.

Steely Dan
My son Kevin and I caught them during their residency at the Beacon Theatre in New York.  It was the first time either of us had seen them.  In addition to playing each tune from their Aja album, they hit the crowd with some other great songs from their vault.  In case you don’t know, Steely Dan is two guys, Donald Fagen and Walter Becker who assemble a band of incredible musicians to form a rock orchestra.  The show and the venue were absolutely terrific.

Gillian Welch
Caught her show at the Brevard Music Center in Brevard, NC.  She was highly recommended by one of my sons and I was so glad was there. I found this description of her on Wikipedia an American singer-songwriter. She performs with her musical partner, guitarist David Rawlings. Their sparse and dark musical style, which combines elements of Appalachian music, bluegrass, and America, is described by The New Yorker as "at once innovative and obliquely reminiscent of past rural forms".

Asleep at the Wheel
In the late 1970’s when I was helping a Philadelphia-based home improvement chain liquidate their real estate holdings, I caught their show…by accident.  Always remembering what a great Texas swing band they were, I bought a ticket to see them last night in Asheville, NC.  While there’s only one original member of the band, Ray Benson, the band I saw was incredible.  Standing next to the soundboard in an intimate venue I heard some incredibly talented people playing violin, err, excuse me, fiddle, piano and steel guitar.  Their music is infectious and fun.  Try to catch them if you can.

The Beatles: Eight Days A Week
Ron (Opie) Howard has directed a terrific documentary of The Beatles on the road in the early days which includes never-before-seen footage.  Having had my life change when I saw The Beatles first U.S. performance on The Ed Sullivan Show, this was a treat.  In addition to the movie, there’s an extra 25-minute video of their final concert at New York’s old Shea Stadium (where the baseball Met’s use to play).  The sound has been enhanced so you can actually hear the band – the screams were so overpowering and the bands equipment so, well, for those days, not enough that in the original video you couldn’t hardly hear the band.  This is a movie to see – not just for those of us who’ve grown up with The Beatles but also for other generations – younger ones, who are into music. 

Denial
There’s a small theatre in downtown Asheville, NC called Fine Arts Theatre.  Like New York’s legendary Paris Cinema, on 59th Street just off Fifth Avenue, Fine Arts shows movies that are not necessarily going to be available in main-stream venues.  Denial is a moving story about, well, here’s the professional description I Googled: When university professor Deborah E. Lipstadt includes World War II historian David Irving in a book about Holocaust deniers, Irving accuses her of libel and sparks a legal battle for historical truth. With the burden of proof placed on the accused, Lipstadt and her legal team fight to prove the essential truth that the Holocaust occurred. Based on the book "History on Trial: My Day in Court with a Holocaust Denier."

Steve’s Annual Pre-Holiday Pizza / Drink Thing – December 12, 2016
I’m hosting my Annual Pre-Holiday Pizza/Drink Thing in New York on Monday, December 12.  Those of you who’ve attended in the past know the eclectic make-up of the commercial real estate attendance - pretty much people from all facets of my career.  Here are the details.  Hope to see you!

When:  Monday, December 12
Time:  5pmish to 8:30pmish
Where:  Joe G Restaurant, 244 W. 56th Street (Between B’way and 8th Ave) – downstairs from the DaVinci Hotel
What:  You buy your own drink (and maybe one for me!) and I supply the famous Joe G pizza.

Two Presidential Elections
I have consciously stayed away from commenting on politics in this column - except for something I probably wrote after my first trip to Liberia in 2006 about the horrible civil war fueled by the former (now in prison for life) president of that great country.  Liberia's president since 2006 has been Ellen Johnson Sirleaf who has done a wonderful job of moving this country forward.  When I visited Liberia, first in 2006 and then again in 2012 it was as a volunteer for The MacDella Cooper Foundation that helps children in need.  'Mackie' is known as "Liberia's Angel" and I'm excited to report that she is being talked about as a contender to be the next President of Liberia!  The election will take place in October 2017. Very exciting.

One comment on the U.S. presidential election:  Having had a few real estate industry related interactions with Donald Trump over the years I have personally seen how he operates.  I've believed that Trump is actually afraid of becoming president - that his behavior is part of an effort to self-destruct.  Be that as it may, and while I don't particularly like or trust Hillary Clinton, I will vote for her - if only to participate in the effort to keep Donald Trump from becoming president.  It's actually surreal writing this today - the whole thing is like a distorted reality TV show. But it's totally real!


Saturday, October 1, 2016

In the blink of an eye / Learn something new every day / 'Next Thursday' / Felix-Weiner Workshops Announced

In the blink of an eye
Ray Torto, one of the most well-known and respected real estate research and strategy people was in a bad car crash last Sunday.  Immediately following the accident the report was not good. As the week went on, things started looking a little better and as of yesterday, Ray was up and talking again – albeit in his still difficult to understand Boston accent!  Please join me in sending positive vibes to Ray for a speedy and full recovery.  Thanks!

Learning Something New Every Day
In the ‘you learn something every day’ category, this past week I learned that I must have been living a sheltered life for some period of time. Two people I exchanged business cards with had the title, “Director of Capital Introductions” as their job.  It got me thinking:  yes, to raise capital there need to be introductions made.  Exactly between whom does these folks make the introductions?  And, is that all there is?

My guess is that the people in these positions introduce themselves to a source of capital like a consultant, pension fund, endowment, foundation, sovereign wealth fund or rich people (i.e. family office or simply really, really rich individuals – from where there’s more and more money coming into real estate).  Then, after they introduce themselves, they ask if they can introduce that source of capital (for lack of a better expression) to some of their colleagues who will be happy to take some of their money and invest in in real estate.  Assuming that’s acceptable, then, and this is just a guess, the next introduction comes from the investment professionals that the Director of Capital Introductions has made to the investor to the investment opportunity.

My head is spinning – did I get that right?  Maybe, there’s another introduction to be made along the way to the team that is going to incorporate research, portfolio, asset management, reporting, risk management and the like into the investment.

What this is really about is my first thought when seeing the title – making an introduction is the key starting point.  I personally know as I’ve done a lot of that in my career.  And it’s interesting to see that that title, “Director of Capital Introductions” is appearing.  I’m not sure I like it, not that anyone has asked me.  Perhaps it’s that even though that is the function, I’m not positive that the title really represents what many folks really do – it’s a lot more than just making an introduction isn’t it?

Two weeks on the road
Yesterday I got back (I’m still having a little difficulty with calling North Carolina home) from a two-week, three-city trip.  It reminded me of a trip of similar length I took in Europe 10 years ago when I was working at launching the business there for IREI.  I vowed at that time that two weeks was simply too long to be on the road in one shot. 

Having said that, this was a great trip.  My partner Liz Weiner and I were first in Dallas where we conducted an in-house women’s leadership workshop for 26 women for a well-known real estate investment management firm.

Then I went on to Chicago where I had a chance to make my first visit to see the giraffes (and some of their friends) at the Lincoln Park Zoo – which I learned from a friend last night is one of only two ‘free’ zoos remaining in the U.S. I love giraffes.  I don’t like zoos.  And while the Lincoln Park Zoo is a very nice facility, the outdoors giraffe enclose was closed and under renovation – so the two of them were housed indoors. 

What that visit did do is reinforce the need for me to plan and book the African photo safari I have dreamed of for many, many years – I’ve always wanted to see the giraffes in their natural habitat and am going to take a safari in 2017.

The business part of the Chicago visit was to attend the NAREIM (National Association of Real Estate Investment Mangers) Executive Officers (EO) meeting.  This meeting takes place twice a year and is attended by very senior people on the real estate investment management side of our business.

The reason that the conversation is so open is that there are no consultants and no LP’s allowed (except for one LP that was interviewed as the last session on the second day). Congratulations to NAREIM CEO Gunnar Branson and the planning committee who did a very thoughtful job of creating the agenda.

NAREIM currently has 93 members. Their charter limits membership to 100.  If you are not a member, I encourage you to look into becoming one.  Several of the prospective members that attended this event told me that they are likely to sign up so the remaining spaces may be limited.

NAREIM also hosts a series of other great specialty meetings during the year. These include Capital Raising and Investor Relations, Human Resources, Architectural and Engineering, Legal and Compliance, Sustainability and Investment Management, Acquisitions and Dispositions and Research and Investment Management.  These are modest size groups where interaction amongst the presenters and attendees is unparalleled in the industry.  Check NAREIM out. Oh, the reason I’m not sharing any of my takeaways from the EO meeting is that it operates under the rules, ‘What’s said there, stays there.”

“Next Thursday”
I am so tired of hearing people, especially moderators on panels, ask, “So, what inning are we in?” or “When are things going to change and started sliding downhill again.”

As there is no shortage of opinion in our industry, there are a myriad of answers offered – ‘next Thursday’ being one that, while a bit flippant, suggests that we really don’t know for sure and I’m not one to pontificate. 

However, there are signs that things are changing and, just like a restaurant can’t always predict what kind of night they’re going to have, there are factors at work that suggest that we’re not really in any better shape than the restaurant manager trying to figure out, “Was it the rain or the parade or the holiday or whatever” that is behind having a slow night. 

I can tell you that my friend in the industry show no signs of slowing down their efforts to raise and deploy capital.  What is changing is the profile of the investor – more and more non-traditional investors, capable of buying institutional quality assets, are playing the game and, in many cases, winning the deals.  

One of the things that some companies are beginning to do is to ‘Think Different’ (yes, that’s the Apple advertising slogan that was created by the drummer in the first rock ‘n ‘roll band I played in  - and my longtime friend – Ken Segall).  In anticipation of things changing, it’s important to look at what was done preparing for the last downturn or the lessons learned coming through it, and think differently about what you might be doing to get ready.  It’s a very healthy and worthwhile exercise.  And remember, the folks in your firm who have never experienced anything other than a market that continues to go up may be an excellent source of ideas about what to consider doing differently this time.  Invite them into your strategy meetings – even if they don’t have any brilliant ideas, they’ll learn a lot which is a value-add for your firm and your investors.

Felix/Weiner Workshops Announced
Two weeks ago my partner Liz Weiner (I’m going to refer to her simply as Liz going forward) piloted a new type workshop in Chicago.  The feedback from the participants was powerfully positive and we’ve now incorporated that into the schedule we released this week.

The new workshop, patterned after our internal presentation coaching workshops, is an open-enrollment (people buy tickets) Behavioral Presentation Coaching workshop.  Attendance in the full-day, interactive session is limited to 10 participants (no more than 2 people from any one firm). 

We’re continuing our successful Women’s Leadership Workshop series.  In the firs 15 open-enrollment workshops we’ve had women from 75 different commercial real estate industry related firms attend.  We’ve also conducted five internal women’s leadership / presentation coaching workshops at some of the most prominently named firms in the industry.

Here’s our schedule with a link to the page where you can learn more and register.  We look forward to seeing you or one of your colleagues at one of our upcoming workshops:

Women’s Leadership Workshops...
Develop and enhance your professional presence


2017
**
Behavioral Presentation Coaching Workshops...
Immediately improve your presentation skills...in just one day!


2017





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